Sunday, January 7, 2018

Bitcoin; The mechanics, the value. Case studies in the value of cryptographic currencies



How cryptographic currencies brought about the collapse of centralized banking, government controlled finance, and leveled global income wealth disparity. In the next decade you will be wondering why you ever used a centralized currency.

I’m sure that the subheading seems fairly grandiose! However, I can assure you, every word of will become true, and will come true sooner than you think. I have been privliged to interview people vastly more intelligent than I, there are plenty of them.  Programmers, investment bankers, and even people who use cryptography in their home countries as a primary currency…..they all concur. 
The currency of the future will be person to person (P2P), meaning there is no intermediary like a bank or government.  It will be digital, although if you really wanted to you could print off the bitcoin cryptography and reenter it later.  It will be 100% transparent, made from an open source code.  It will be based on block chain technology.  And oh yes, one more thing………it will be here before the next decade is over.

For those of you who are busy running on the treadmill of modern day survival, and I say this with absolutely no disrespect intended. You are probably too busy to read, research, or ask experts about cryptographic currencies like bitcoin.  You probably have seen it on “the news” or even the Facebook news feed.  There are some very powerful people putting out lots of misinformation on cryptography, and for very good reason.  It could obliterate their industry, way of life, and their wealth.  In the first part of this multi part series I will explain what Bitcoin, and other cryptographics are, and are NOT!
Cryptographics (bitcoin) are NOT an investment tool, they are not a stock or bond, they are not a fad, they are not the exclusive currency for criminal activity, they are not owned by any governmental body or bank or corporation, they are not tangible, they are not a scam, and they are not owned by a Japanese guy named Satoshi Nakamoto……they are also not a sock, fish, or coffee cup.
Imagine you have a $10,000 bill, yes they exist and Salmon P. Chase is on the front, and you want to use it to buy a car.  You want to make sure that you have a valid bill of sale. Of course you want it to be difficult to forge, and impossible to destroy.  Now imagine that you could write the contract on that $10,000 bill, and then transfer it to the seller.  With cryptographics, like Bitcoin, the contract will be enshrined in the block chain.  The block chain is the digital ledger that tracks every single Bitcoin transaction ever completed, for as long as there are computers the Bitcoin block chain will exist.  Both you and the seller will have access to this ledger, in your digital wallets.  It can never be altered. The same could be done for any contract entered in to: land, business purchases, legal agreements etc. 

This aspect alone, gives bitcoin an intrinsic value.  Gold is not intrinsically valuable.  It is heavy and is not used in industrial production.  Currencies have value, and have throughout history, because they are a contractual obligation between two parties.  A promise.  More than that, as the value of a currency is recognized by an entire group or society of people the value increases.  The contract, or promise of value is fundamental to the value of any fiat monetary system.  This could not have been better exemplified than during the monetary crisis that occurred in Venezuela over recent years. Although there are many examples of currency devaluing to almost nothing in modern times, Venezuela is noteworthy. Why? Because it is a large scale case study in trust, and it happened at a time when cryptographics had proven themselves as a globally recognized store of value.
While the Venezuelan people have had most of their savings wiped out, some have managed to purchase crypto currencies, bitcoin and the like.  Their government money, a promissory store of value just like any other fiat currency, is no longer trusted.  It is not trusted by them, or anyone else in the global market.  The trust and promise of value is gone, and so the money is worth as much as the paper it is printed on. Possibly even less in some cases, since toilet paper is scarce in the collapsing nation.  It is worth noting that at one point, less than 20 years ago, Venezuela was one of the wealthiest south American nations!  People there have turned to cryptographics precisely because of the promissory value that they hold. 

If you wanted to take the time to read the source code for Bitcoin, or another crypto currency, you could find out exactly how many units of currency will be created, and when the minting of the cyber currency will stop. For bitcoin that number will be $21 million.  Take a moment to think about what that means.  The U.S. Government has a policy of increasing the monetary supply by 2% yearly. This means your money is worth $2 less for every hundred you save each year.  Most 401K plans have a limit of $18,500, this means that if you max out your retirement fund it is worth $370 less by years end! This is not a political, but economic observation. In the case of Venezuela the government, printing of currency resulted in mass inflation, devaluation, and destruction of almost all savings. With a cryptographic currency, this is impossible.

What if people forge Bitcoin? After all, it’s just made up.  I would like to point out that the major backing of fiat currency, the USD for instance, is men with guns.  All currencies are “made up” and poses no actual value.  Forging a cryptographic currency would be both cost prohibitive, as well as difficult. Since the computer network that manages the ledger, the block chain, for bitcoin now contains more computing power than all of googles resources combined it is very unlikely that it could be hacked.  In addition the creation of false cryptocurrency would result in an imbalance in the ledger which would be easily and quickly detectable.  After all, how could a dollar bill exist in two places at once, with the same serial number?  Every transaction increases the overall level of encryption.  With every use cryptographics become ever more difficult to falsify.

Where do Bitcoins, and other cryptographic currencies come from? When a mommy and daddy bitcoin get married and they love each other very much, they make a baby bitcoin……Actually bitcoin, and most cryptographic currencies rely on a global computer network.  This network is made up of independently organized operators who use an open source computer program, a program that anyone can access for free, which solves equations creating layers of encryption for the block chain further securing the digital ledger which comprises the basis of security and openness for the digital currency. For the use of their computing power these people, referred to as bitcoin miners, are awarded bitcoins by the cryptographic algorhythem. Imagine you mint currency for the US government.  For every ten coins you produce, the govt gives you two. Bitcoin is similar to this. However, unlike a physical arrangement the block chain base code, and other miners prohibit forgery. A forged unit of bitcoin would not match the ‘serial number’ sequence that the source code provides for the distribution of bitcoins awarded for mining.

Who regulates/owns Bitcoin and other cryptographics? Simply put, no one and everyone. Decentralization of ownership is part of the founding argument for cryptographics. The entire world will agree on a value, competition for computing power will forge the way for securitization of transactions, and as the network becomes ever more secure and evermore expansive, the value of whatever cryptographic emerges increases. Unlike a fiat currency, if someone decides they do not like a certain cryptographic they can decide not to use it. They can use a different one, or even use their local government fiat currency. The value of decentralized ownership provides a network, global in scale, of individuals who both monitor and maintain the digital currency supply. Everyone, at least everyone using the currency, has a dog in the fight when it comes to maintaining security of the digital monetary supply.

No comments:

Post a Comment